Black Democrats and Hispanics are facing a formidable challenge from the Supreme Court’s Republican Majority. It has given Republicans the unfettered right to racially gerrymander and render black and Hispanic votes meaningless. It followed their decision to eliminate the last vestiges of the Voting Rights Act that protected minorities against racial gerrymandering. It doesn’t stop there.
The Trump administration has joined in. It:
- Made it easier to discriminate against blacks in housing, employment and education by weakeningthe ability to challenge policies that disproportionately harm racial minorities.
- Made it more difficult for Blacks to get jobs with government contractors by ending long-standing affirmative action requirements that applied to them.
- Dismantled federal race diversity programs and pressured federally funded institutions and private employers to do the same.
- Threatened to withhold funding from schools that consider race in their admissions, hiring, scholarships, and other programs.
- Canceled research grants to investigate disparities in disease rates among races, including Alzheimer’s, which is disproportionately suffered by Black Americans.
- Eliminated initiatives that address the continued consequences of slavery and racial discriminations, and
- Is investigating medical school Black admission programs.
So, it’s crucial that Blacks and Hispanics vote in masse in the midterms. 92% of 1,600 registered Black male voters in six battleground states said that voting is important and 74% said they were almost sure or probably going to vote in the midterms. Only 25% said they were uncertain or unlikely to vote in November. Sadly, that’s probably not enough to negate the racist Supreme Court Republican majority’s unconstitutional greenlight to racially gerrymander and the administrations hostility against people of color.
But suppose Black and Hispanic voters together make up 25% of the electorate in a competitive district or state. If 90% of them vote Democratic, it would deliver an 80-point net margin and dramatically improve their battle for the House and Senate.
Pew’s July 2026 polling has Democrats leading Republicans 68%-8% among Black registered voters and 49%-26% among Hispanicvoters, with the rest undecided or voting for someone else.
Bringing Black voters closer to the 92% who say voting is important could flip close races to Democrats in Georgia, Michigan, Mississippi, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and South Carolina.
If Democrats win a majority in the House, they would control investigations, subpoenas, hearings and appropriations, and subject the administration to Congressional scrutiny and constraint it has not faced with Republican majorities. And, importantly, Congress could no longer pass Republican-only legislation which would give Democrats more leverage over Republican-sponsored legislation.
If Democrats win majority in the Senate, they could prevent Trump from putting another Justice on the Supreme Court and filling other federal judgeships.
But the Black and Hispanic turnout has to be large. Although nearly all Black voters believe voting is important and are still politically engaged, they’re being misread and ignored. Democratic messaging hasn’t bombarded them enough with the brazen racism resident in the White House, the Supreme Court and Trump-enabling Republicans.
Blacks aren’t getting compelling-enough messages through texts, mail, or TV ads. 90% of young Black men get their politics from YouTube, and 44% they get it through social media. Those platforms need to be prioritized.
It’s hard to believe that the Senate would ever convict Trump after he’s impeached, given that it requires a two thirds vote and their shameful fealty to him. But Republican dissatisfaction with him is growing rapidly.
Some Republicans say they’d vote to convict if there were a secret ballot. Outgoing Republicans have used their remaining time in office to vote against Trump’s legislative agenda, challenge his foreign policy, or openly criticize his conduct – both clear reflections of their and probably other sitting Republicans’ true feelings about Trump.
So, would they vote to convict him if he had been fired from the Presidency based on compelling and publicly reported evidence of shameful and egregious use of his office?
That would depend on how much influence Trump would have over voters after he’s no longer President, i.e., whether Republicans would still fear being challenged by Trump-backed candidates.
His influence over voters would diminish if the evidence for conviction is ugly enough to make him an electoral liability. Moreover, if other Republican Senators are prepared to vote for conviction, i.e., the rats are leaving the ship and Trump-tarnished Republicans don’t want to be left behind, conviction becomes more likely.
Most importantly, 67% of voters want the return of bipartisanship and many Republicans want to regain the popularity of the Reagan era. But Trump needs to be removed to reach those goals. Only then could the bipartisanship that solved the country’s most difficult issues for centuries reemerge from America’s political parties that have never been so hostile to each other until Trump came on the scene.
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