With the 2024 presidential race starting to get going, Vice President Kamala Harris is fast becoming the prohibitive frontrunner in betting markets and national surveys. In the ongoing Kamala Harris vs. Trump contest, every day it gets a little better for her side and a little worse uphill for Donald Trump.
Betting Markets Favor Harris
Outside the polls, she has become the one to beat in political betting. News lately is Harris being close to winning the presidency. In fact, the bookmakers now find her a 51.8 percent favorite to beat Trump (he has a 46.9% chance of prevailing).
The market has shown a shift in betting on who will win this year, with more and more confidence that Harris could land the presidency. This is paired with a perception of her high profile but serious broadcasting success has made the California senator competitive as both a frontrunner and an establishment champion, according to experts.
Kamala Harris vs. Trump: Polls Reflect Growing Support
National polls also mirror the trends seen in betting markets. New Morning Consult data, meanwhile, has Joe Biden up 6 points over Trump … and Kamala Harris up 6 points as well. This strong support has given him a substantial lead, particularly among women, voters under 50 and independents.
A part of the answer can be found in one of Harris’ strengths: her broad appeal. Where Trump has sought to energize his base, Harris has worked to bring Americans together even when their politics diverge. The hopeful message of evidence-based progress sings loudly to voters sick and tired of the all doom-no hope rhetoric of Trump’s campaign.
Why Is Trump Falling Behind?
Another Issue for Trump Campaign He has been mired in legal problems, his divisive rhetoric and policy choices have led to ranker souring the presidency and pushing away the voters, including republicans. And 2016 voters have had 8 years to see how awful he is. Whereas, Harris is perceived as a down to earth and honest candidate that can speak to the priorities of Americans like healthcare, education and climate change.
Harris has also performed well in recent debates, further boosting her position. Trump’s rough-and-tumble approach may work for some, but a vast number of voters are after someone who can lead with composure and comity, traits Harris has shown time after time on the campaign trail.
Kamala Harris vs. Trump: A Competitive Race Ahead
As Harris is moving up both in the polling averages as well as betting markets, her White House pathway looks more open today. But the race remains competitive, and Trump is not about to go quietly into that good night. Both candidates still have to reach out to voters and speak of issues that matter them, as the election draws near.
For the time being, Harris’ growing popularity is indicative of her potential presidency, and should serve as a dwindling sign for Trump’s chances of reclaiming his old job.
